by jmirabella on Mon Feb 08, 2010 4:13 pm
It has to be mentioned that Georgia had a historically bad - for the sport, not just the program - season as far as turnovers go: -16 TO margin. Richt's worst year to that point had been (I believe) -2. We threw a lot of interceptions, but the real reason for the disparity between Georgia and its opponents in the TO department was fumbles lost vs fumbles recovered, which most people agree has nothing to do with talent or coaching, but is simply a function of luck. In other words, this season was like the 500-plus year flood Atlanta just experienced: a statistical anomaly. Historically, most of the other teams that rate comparably with Georgia's -16 TO margin won an average of about 2 to 3 games a year. Georgia won 8. If Georgia returns to the mean in TO margin, and Grantham turns out to be even a slight upgrade over CWM, Georgia should win 10 or 11 games (or more). The schedule, it should also be pointed out, gets a lot easier this year after two very difficult seasons.
If you want to make a Georgia-Auburn comparison, why don't you go with Auburn of 2003 who also won 8 games (8-5), and which brought in a new coordinator for the 2004 season and...well, you know.
Chedda's All Conference...laddi freakin' da.